Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.141788 0.172936 0.206692 0.245697 0.289236 0.336070 0.389983
2025-03-16 0.092859 0.131958 0.178287 0.235993 0.304748 0.382936 0.477472
2025-03-23 0.068963 0.113464 0.170667 0.246560 0.341741 0.454558 0.595795
2025-03-30 0.047741 0.092774 0.155969 0.245264 0.362790 0.507367 0.693904
2025-04-06 0.033214 0.077178 0.144602 0.245672 0.384517 0.560807 0.793978
2025-04-13 0.024096 0.067053 0.138730 0.251929 0.413130 0.623123 0.906372
2025-04-20 0.017820 0.059639 0.135310 0.260560 0.444538 0.689401 1.025030
2025-04-27 0.012917 0.052902 0.131523 0.267659 0.473439 0.752662 1.140861
2025-05-04 0.008357 0.044520 0.123088 0.266197 0.489305 0.798253 1.234121
2025-05-11 0.005685 0.039313 0.119298 0.271369 0.514496 0.856652 1.344946
2025-05-18 0.003311 0.032881 0.111601 0.268895 0.527556 0.898064 1.433400
2025-05-25 0.001363 0.024876 0.098340 0.254947 0.521662 0.911982 1.484319
2025-06-01 0.000668 0.021485 0.094864 0.258459 0.543636 0.966812 1.593194
2025-06-08 0.000171 0.016766 0.086535 0.251775 0.548642 0.997000 1.668523
2025-06-15 0.000074 0.015851 0.088302 0.264827 0.586344 1.075764 1.812610
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.013108 0.083780 0.264658 0.601815 1.121804 1.911416
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010931 0.080145 0.265787 0.619265 1.170913 2.015050
2025-07-06 NaN 0.009718 0.079349 0.272790 0.646882 1.235690 2.141633
2025-07-13 NaN 0.008887 0.079656 0.282130 0.678703 1.307214 2.278511
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007969 0.079251 0.289755 0.707621 1.374659 2.410217
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006377 0.075110 0.288301 0.720159 1.416964 2.506072
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005543 0.074002 0.293801 0.745255 1.478972 2.630984
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004284 0.069777 0.291225 0.755358 1.517597 2.722176